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The surge in positive rate was driven by the holidays, not Omicron, according to OCTA.

According to OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David, the modest increase in Metro Manila’s Covid-19 positive rate, average daily attack rate (ADAR), and reproduction rate was attributable to the holiday frenzy, not the Omicron variety.

David believes it is too soon to conclude that the newest coronavirus variety is to blame for the increase in cases.

David indicated that the current reproduction rate is 0.85 percent, while the ADAR in the National Capital Region (NCR) is 0.82 percent, based on two-week growth rates (TWGR).

The positive rate increased marginally to 1.4 percent.

“So, nakita rin natin ito last year, hindi natin masasabi ngayon na Omicron-driven ito. Siguro sa pagtitipun-tipon ng mga kababayan natin, kaya kailangan doble pag-iingat lang naman ang kinakailangan natin. This could have been triggered by the crowds, therefore we must be extra cautious) “During a press conference, he stated.

On Monday, the country had 9,579 active Covid-19 cases, the tally falling below 10,000 for the tenth day in a row.

So far, four Omicron variant cases have been confirmed.

Similar to last year, David stated that Covid-19 testing slowed as laboratories took a holiday and several testing sites were disrupted by Typhoon Odette’s recent attack.

He predicted that a “clear picture” of how the number of Covid-19 cases spiked might not be available until the first week of January next year.

“Iyong upsurge ay bumalik na siya sa regular level ang nangyari naman noong January this year lang, noong January 2021. So ulit siya ulit ulit ulit ulit ulit ulit ulit Iyong kakulangan natin sa testing at iyong mga closed laboratories ay bababa ulit sa normal levels ang bilang ng kaso ang iyong sanang gusto nating makita ngayon na after January, kapag na-resolve na iyong testing, iyong kakulangan natin sa testing as Iyong gusto nating mangyari iyan iyong gusto nating mangyari iyan iyong gusto (As a result, the rise returned to its typical level in January of this year.) As a result, it plummeted once more. So that’s what we’re hoping to see after January [next year], if we can clear our backlogs in testing and laboratories, and the cases will return to normal. That’s what we’re hoping for), “David stated his opinion.

David believes that there is no reason to tighten limitations or push for premature intervention at this time.

“It might just be a holiday bump,” he noted, “which means na after the holidays, possibly bababa din iyong number of instances and iyong positivity rate (the number of cases and the positive rate could go down).”

David urged people to maintain adhering to minimal public health standards and to get Covid-19 immunizations if they haven’t already.

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