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According to OCTA, the positive rate in NCR could increase to 25%.


The National Capital Region’s (NCR) positivity rate, or the proportion of people who test positive for Covid-19, may approach 25%, the OCTA Research Group said on Friday.

Dr. Guido David, a fellow of the OCTA Research Group, stated in a televised public briefing that the positive rate in the NCR increased from 14 percent on April 26 to 20.4 percent on May 3.

Yes, we are anticipating a rise in the positivity rate, which may reach up to 25%, and I am not the only one who has made that projection; other experts also see that as a possibility. He added, “Yes, we are anticipating a rise in the positivity rate, which may reach up to 25%, and I am not the only one who has made that projection.”

The medical utilization rate, however, wouldn’t rise to dangerous heights.

The healthcare utilization in Metro Manila is currently at 25%, and we don’t anticipate it to increase to 40%, for instance, and it will be safe at low levels, he said.

Additionally, he mentioned that the provinces of Cavite, Rizal, Laguna, and Camarines Sur already had positive rates of more than 20%.

The Department of Health (DOH) stated on Thursday that measurements like transmission rate, contact rate, and longer durations of infectiousness are not the only factors influencing transmission and case increases. Instead, these metrics are used to monitor the country’s Covid-19 situation.

The DOH advised the public to concentrate on many prevention layers against Covid-19 and monitor healthcare utilization rates and hospital admissions.

According to David, getting vaccinated and using a face mask is crucial after determining your own risk.

The public, however, needs to take personal responsibility, and providing them with knowledge may be helpful.

“Positivity rate is one indicator; it is not the only indicator, but it is one indicator na nagsasabi na tumataas iyong infections,” he said. “But it is one indicator saying the infections are increasing.”

4,092,158 confirmed cases of Covid-19 have been reported in the nation so far, along with 66,444 fatalities.

More than 78.4 million people, including 10.2 million teenagers, 5.6 million youngsters, and 7.2 million seniors, had received all of their recommended vaccinations as of March 20, 2023.

Nearly 4.4 million people have received their second booster shot, while more than 23.8 million have already received their first booster dose.

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