NextGen Day

Coronavirus cases in the National Capital Region (NCR) may have already peaked, according to Health Secretary Francisco Duque III, as the number of new infections in the area has continued to decline in recent days.

During a televised public briefing, Duque said, “Lumiliit ang porsiyentong iniaambag nito sa ating total caseload (The proportion of new cases the NCR provides to our overall case load is getting smaller).”

On Sunday, the NCR recorded 5,433 new cases, down from 6,646 on Saturday. On January 21, 7,279 people were counted; on January 20, 9,455 people were counted; and on January 19, 8,376 people were counted.

On Thursday, the Inter-Agency Task Force for the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases will examine the increased alert levels around the country.

Following the task force’s examination of the metrics, Duque stated they might discuss lowering the alert level in NCR from 3 to 2.

“So, depending on our measurements or if our basis is the two-week growth rate natin, dapat sa (that depends on our metrics or if our basis is the two-week growth rate natin, it should be) moderate risk level,” Duque stated.

He went on to say that the typical daily attack rate is between one and seven instances per 100,000 people.

He stated that the healthcare use rate must be kept at a low-risk level, which means less than 50% overall bed occupancy and intensive care unit utilization.

“Baka kailangan na kailangan ay tingnan na rin if talaga namang malinaw na ang health care use rate ay nagkaroon na ng pagbabaklas ‘no, iyong decoupling,” he said.

Decoupling occurs when the number of instances increases but does not translate into a substantial number of severe or catastrophic cases.

“Baka pag-usapan iyan na puwede na, na magbaba,” Duque stated.

According to him, the NCR’s current bed occupancy rate is 41.81 percent, which is considered low risk, and its critical care unit use rate is 47 percent, which is also low risk.

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